Saturday, March 28, 2009

Israel: Iran is only months away from building a nuke, has ballistic warhead capability

Israel: Iran is only months away from building a nuke, has ballistic warhead capability :from Debka.com

25 Mar.: Israel's AMAN military intelligence director, Maj. Amos Yadlin informed the Knesset foreign affairs and security committee Wednesday, March 25, that Iran is only months away from a capacity to make a nuclear bomb and has attained a warhead capability. Yet Tehran has decided not to cross the threshold for two compelling reasons, outlined by DEBKAfile's military sources:

1. They are waiting to stockpile an arsenal of 10 to 12 bombs and warheads for which they are short of enough enriched uranium.

2. Undeterred by fear of an American or European attack, Iran's leaders are waiting to see what rewards US president Barack Obama has to offer them for improving Washington-Tehran relations. If the American incentives fall short, Tehran will then push forward with its nuclear weapon.

In his briefing, Yadlin avoided pointing out that Obama's projected rewards would be at the expense of Israel's strategic standing or even its military might. This has prompted the sharply conflicting US and Israel intelligence evaluations of the point at which Iran's nuclear bomb program stands now.

While the AMAN chief says the capability is there but not yet fulfilled, the Americans speak of a timeline of 1-5 years or more.

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